AI + a16z

The Best Way to Achieve AGI Is to Invent It

Pedro Domingos and Martin Casado

Posted November 4, 2024

On this episode of the AI + a16z podcast, longtime machine-learning researcher, and University of Washington Professor Emeritus, Pedro Domingos joins a16z General Partner Martin Casado to discuss the state of artificial intelligence, whether we’re really on a path toward AGI, and the value of expressing unpopular opinions. It’s a very insightful discussion as we head into an era of mainstream AI adoption, and begin to ask big questions about how to ramp up progress and diversify research directions.

Here’s an excerpt of Pedro sharing his thoughts on the increasing cost of frontier models and whether that’s the right direction:

“If you believe the scaling laws hold and the scaling laws will take us to human-level intelligence, then, hey, it’s worth a lot of investment. That’s one part, but that may be wrong.

“The other part, however, is [the idea] that to do that, we need exploding amounts of compute. If if I had to predict what’s going to happen, it’s that we do not need a trillion dollars to reach AGI at all. So if you spend a trillion dollars reaching AGI, this is a very bad investment.”

More About This Podcast

Artificial intelligence is changing everything from art to enterprise IT, and a16z is watching all of it with a close eye. This podcast features discussions with leading AI engineers, founders, and experts, as well as our general partners, about where the technology and industry are heading.

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