American Dynamism

Investing in Mariana Minerals

Erin Price-Wright and Ryan McEntush Posted July 21, 2025

As the West races to secure critical mineral supply chains, technology is reinventing how we discover, extract, and refine the resources that underpin everything from energy to defense. The companies that move now — software-native, vertically integrated, and built for speed — will define the future of mining. Yet no one has taken the aggressive, full-stack swing the moment demands. Until now.

Today, we’re announcing our investment in a company that champions that vision: Mariana Minerals.

As we explained in a recent post, the bottleneck in expanding minerals production capacity isn’t geology — it’s coordination. Today, operations rely on Excel files passed between EPCs, regulators, and owners; static mine plans; and decisions made long after data is available. Critical actions like ore routing, reagent dosing, or equipment procurement are delayed or misaligned because the systems are fragmented and slow.

Mariana is different. It’s a systems company, building the software layer that brings real-time intelligence to mining. Mariana turns what today is reactive and manual into something precise, adaptive, and fast. To do this, Mariana is building an integrated software platform that spans the entire lifecycle of mine — from capital project delivery to mining operations and chemical refining. It replaces fragmented workflows with real-time coordination, telemetry-driven control, and AI-optimized decision-making.

And unlike software that sits siloed inside a traditional mining company that can’t absorb modern practices, software built natively within Mariana compounds: integrating seamlessly, reinforcing one another, and accelerating execution. With every new site brought online, Mariana captures more data and operational insight, continuously improving the system and driving down the cost and timeline of the next project.

Critically, Mariana is full-stack. It designs, permits, finances, commissions, and operates. It pours the concrete. It operates the haul truck. Where incumbents take twelve years to get a single lithium project into production, Mariana has set a target that sounds like heresy: 10 mineral projects in 10 years. Three sites — spanning lithium, copper, and nickel — are already under development in the United States, with the first refined product projected to be delivered by year’s end.

Before SpaceX, the smartest engineers didn’t touch aerospace. Before Palantir and Anduril, Stanford’s top grads wouldn’t go near defense. Mining has never had a magnet like that, but Mariana Minerals is creating one. Chemists, ML engineers, and field ops sit side by side, all owning the outcome and sharing in the upside — a rare blend of Silicon Valley mindset and dirt-under-the-fingernails execution.

The idea behind Mariana is simple and compelling: we cannot outcompete China with whitepapers and pilots. We need to break rock and move earth. Now.

Behind this bold vision is a team built for the mission. CEO Turner Caldwell led Tesla’s metals and minerals team, deploying billions in dollars across the company’s lithium and battery facilities. CTO Juan Lozano scaled ML systems at Affirm and Kite, bringing technical range and a track record of shipping real-world AI systems. CFO Baker Tilney previously founded and scaled an integrated energy company focused on revitalizing American production assets, later sold to Vitol. Alongside them are chemical engineers from BASF and Exxon, EPC leads from Jacobs, and operators from Tesla. 

Mariana won’t unlock every constraint by itself. Permitting can still be a bureaucratic challenge. Exploration still needs better tooling. Processing still needs novel chemistries. But while most majors relegate new tools to innovation labs or dump them in tailings ponds, Mariana drags them onto the critical path. If a piece of technology adds velocity, it will build it. If somebody else can go faster on a subcomponent, it will partner. This is mining at war speed.

If you want to get your hands dirty and work on one of the most important problems in America, Mariana Minerals is hiring in San Francisco, Houston, and other locations. It’s time to mine.

Want More a16z American Dynamism?

An update on the ideas, companies, and individuals building toward a more dynamic future.

Learn More
Recommended For You
Infra

new Investing in Deeptune

Marco Mascorro and Martin Casado
Growth

new Investing in Mind Robotics

Sarah Wang
Growth

Investing in Nexthop AI

Raghu Raghuram, Shangda Xu, and Guido Appenzeller
Fintech

Investing in Lio

Seema Amble, James da Costa, Eric Zhou, and Brian Roberts
Bio + Health

Investing in Ease

Daisy Wolf, Anish Acharya, and Eva Steinman

Want More American Dynamism?

An update on the ideas, companies, and individuals building toward a more dynamic future.

Sign Up On Substack

Views expressed in “posts” (including podcasts, videos, and social media) are those of the individual a16z personnel quoted therein and are not the views of a16z Capital Management, L.L.C. (“a16z”) or its respective affiliates. a16z Capital Management is an investment adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration as an investment adviser does not imply any special skill or training. The posts are not directed to any investors or potential investors, and do not constitute an offer to sell — or a solicitation of an offer to buy — any securities, and may not be used or relied upon in evaluating the merits of any investment.

The contents in here — and available on any associated distribution platforms and any public a16z online social media accounts, platforms, and sites (collectively, “content distribution outlets”) — should not be construed as or relied upon in any manner as investment, legal, tax, or other advice. You should consult your own advisers as to legal, business, tax, and other related matters concerning any investment. Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects and/or opinions expressed in these materials are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by others. Any charts provided here or on a16z content distribution outlets are for informational purposes only, and should not be relied upon when making any investment decision. Certain information contained in here has been obtained from third-party sources, including from portfolio companies of funds managed by a16z. While taken from sources believed to be reliable, a16z has not independently verified such information and makes no representations about the enduring accuracy of the information or its appropriateness for a given situation. In addition, posts may include third-party advertisements; a16z has not reviewed such advertisements and does not endorse any advertising content contained therein. All content speaks only as of the date indicated.

Under no circumstances should any posts or other information provided on this website — or on associated content distribution outlets — be construed as an offer soliciting the purchase or sale of any security or interest in any pooled investment vehicle sponsored, discussed, or mentioned by a16z personnel. Nor should it be construed as an offer to provide investment advisory services; an offer to invest in an a16z-managed pooled investment vehicle will be made separately and only by means of the confidential offering documents of the specific pooled investment vehicles — which should be read in their entirety, and only to those who, among other requirements, meet certain qualifications under federal securities laws. Such investors, defined as accredited investors and qualified purchasers, are generally deemed capable of evaluating the merits and risks of prospective investments and financial matters.

There can be no assurances that a16z’s investment objectives will be achieved or investment strategies will be successful. Any investment in a vehicle managed by a16z involves a high degree of risk including the risk that the entire amount invested is lost. Any investments or portfolio companies mentioned, referred to, or described are not representative of all investments in vehicles managed by a16z and there can be no assurance that the investments will be profitable or that other investments made in the future will have similar characteristics or results. A list of investments made by funds managed by a16z is available here: https://a16z.com/investments/. Past results of a16z’s investments, pooled investment vehicles, or investment strategies are not necessarily indicative of future results. Excluded from this list are investments (and certain publicly traded cryptocurrencies/ digital assets) for which the issuer has not provided permission for a16z to disclose publicly. As for its investments in any cryptocurrency or token project, a16z is acting in its own financial interest, not necessarily in the interests of other token holders. a16z has no special role in any of these projects or power over their management. a16z does not undertake to continue to have any involvement in these projects other than as an investor and token holder, and other token holders should not expect that it will or rely on it to have any particular involvement.

With respect to funds managed by a16z that are registered in Japan, a16z will provide to any member of the Japanese public a copy of such documents as are required to be made publicly available pursuant to Article 63 of the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act of Japan. Please contact compliance@a16z.com to request such documents.

For other site terms of use, please go here. Additional important information about a16z, including our Form ADV Part 2A Brochure, is available at the SEC’s website: http://www.adviserinfo.sec.gov.